Within neighborhood
11
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Elsdon Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031570500 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,699 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
17031570500 is a census tract in the Elsdon area of Chicago, IL. It scores 6.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,699 residents. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units803
Renter share35.0%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$74,899
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
30
th percentile
Low
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7986, -87.7325 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elsdon scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$983 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Elsdon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 78%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 118Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.5%Peak (2015)
- 13Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 117% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elsdon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.6%Housing insecurity
- 9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.8%Food insecurity
- 17.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.2%Transit barriers
- 26.2%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 29.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elsdon
At $983 a month, rents run 32% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Food insecurity runs 26.8% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 118 eviction filings across 15 observed years.
Housing insecurity runs 22.6% against 14.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2015, when 3.5% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #16,571 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.9/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031570500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031570500?
Census tract 17031570500 in the Elsdon neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031570500?
Median gross rent is $983/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031570500?
6.0% of residents in tract 17031570500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,699.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031570500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 23th, minority 86th, housing 26th.
Q5
Is tract 17031570500 considered part of Elsdon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031570500 fall within Elsdon (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031570500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 118 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031570500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.33% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031570500 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031570500 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031570500 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031570500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Englewood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Princeton Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Bush
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Corwith
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
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