Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Morgan Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031750200 ·
Cook County, IL · pop 3,141 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 6.3/10, tract 17031750200 in the Morgan Park area of Chicago, IL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,141 residents. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%Stable renters 15%Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,466
Renter share36.2%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$79,464
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Morgan Park
Very High
Within parent city
31th percentile
#549 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Low
Within county
50th percentile
#661 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Moderate
Within state
76th percentile
#773 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.6957, -87.6714 · click any tract to drill in
Why Morgan Park scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,518 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Morgan Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
43%Socioeconomic
31%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
33%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
55%Grade B
38%Grade C
6%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
296Total filings over 15 yrs
6.65%Avg annual filing rate
12.6%Peak (2013)
26Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2015
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Morgan Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
15.9%Housing insecurity
10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
17.9%Food insecurity
16.8%SNAP enrollment
9.0%Transit barriers
6.7%No health insurance
14.8%Frequent mental distress
27.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Morgan Park
59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Cook County average of 45.6%. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.8/10.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 296 filings here across 15 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 12.6% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.7% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
It tracks the Cook County average of 6.1 closely. Average gross rent is $1,518, close to the Chicago average.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $79,464. 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031750200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031750200?
Census tract 17031750200 in the Morgan Park neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031750200?
Median gross rent is $1,518/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031750200?
7.3% of residents in tract 17031750200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,141.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031750200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 31th, minority 79th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 17031750200 considered part of Morgan Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031750200 fall within Morgan Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031750200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 296 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031750200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.65% of renter households, peaking at 12.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031750200 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031750200 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031750200 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031750200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.