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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Morgan Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 7,791 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 5.3–6.3

Morgan Park takes in 3 census tracts of Chicago, IL, population 7,791. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.7/10, Moderate tier. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.4/10.

The severe-burden share is 23%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Average gross rent is $1,026, 29% below the Chicago average of $1,440.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Against a Chicago baseline of 29.3%, 36% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.3 to 6.3, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

Court records carry 364 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 12.6% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 4.6% in 2015, is well off that peak. Among the 187 mapped neighborhoods of Chicago, it ranks #149 by risk, the lower third. At 22% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Rent takes 11% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Morgan Park vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
35.9% +23%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,026 -29%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$108,458 +44%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
5.2% -69%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
21.7% -60%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Morgan Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.3–6.3

Why Morgan Park scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
22% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
5.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.8 across tracts
1.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6–5.0 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

Morgan Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Morgan Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Morgan Park: 5.75.7Morgan ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Morgan Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1 points from 5.3 to 6.3. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Morgan Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031750200 6.3 3,141 59% $1,518
17031750400 5.3 2,790 16% $1,156
17031720600 5.3 1,860 26%
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 28

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 32%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 31%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 22%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Morgan Park

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 364Total filings (sum)
  • 3.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.6%Peak year (2014)
  • 5.11%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Morgan Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Morgan Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Morgan Park?

Morgan Park scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Morgan Park compare to Chicago overall?

Morgan Park scores 1.0 points lower than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,026 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Morgan Park?

Average gross rent in Morgan Park is $1,026/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Morgan Park residents are renters?

22% of Morgan Park households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 7,791 residents.
Q5

Is Morgan Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Morgan Park sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Morgan Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Morgan Park is census tract 17031750200 (score 6.3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 6.3, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Morgan Park for landlords?

Morgan Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Morgan Park?

Morgan Park has 8,196 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (40.2%), Hispanic / Latino (7.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Morgan Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Morgan Park.

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