Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Oakwood Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031842000 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,794 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 17031842000 sits in the Oakwood Shores area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 17% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units381
Renter share47.5%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$135,341
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8350, -87.6252 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oakwood Shores scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$2,314 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Oakwood Shores compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 83%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 75Total filings over 13 yrs
- 3.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.9%Peak (2013)
- 9Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Oakwood Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.7%Food insecurity
- 14.8%SNAP enrollment
- 10.6%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 27.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oakwood Shores
Average gross rent is $2,314, 61% above the Chicago average. The voucher gap is 31.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.1/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 75 filings here across 13 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 12.9% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031842000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031842000?
Census tract 17031842000 in the Oakwood Shores neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031842000?
Median gross rent is $2,314/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031842000?
16.9% of residents in tract 17031842000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,794.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031842000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 22th, minority 78th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 17031842000 considered part of Oakwood Shores?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031842000 fall within Oakwood Shores (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031842000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 75 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 17031842000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.63% of renter households, peaking at 12.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031842000 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031842000 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031842000 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031842000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 83% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Stony Island Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Brighton
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
West Roseland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Brighton
8.1
/ 10 · High
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