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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Arbor Walk Eviction Risk: Moderate , Normal

Tract 17113000504 · McLean County, IL · pop 4,450 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.9/10 for census tract 17113000504 reflects conditions in the Arbor Walk area of Normal, Illinois. On the national scale it ranks #23,569 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

44% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $925 monthly, set against $64,696 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 28% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units2,263
Renter share50.2%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$64,696

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Arbor Walk
Moderate
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 13 tracts In Normal
Low
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 47 tracts In McLean County
Elevated
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#1,320 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Normal and the region

Centroid at 40.5157, -88.9545 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arbor Walk scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Normal
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$925 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Normal
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Normal
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Normal
8.3

How Arbor Walk compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arbor Walk risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 000504Normal: 4.54.5Normalparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arbor Walk

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Normal eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the McLean County average of 5.3 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17113000504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17113000504?

Census tract 17113000504 in the Arbor Walk neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17113000504?

Median gross rent is $925/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17113000504?

8.3% of residents in tract 17113000504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,450.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17113000504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 23th, minority 47th, housing 23th.
Q5

Is tract 17113000504 considered part of Arbor Walk?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17113000504 fall within Arbor Walk (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17113000504 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17113000504 compare to Normal overall?

Tract 17113000504 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Normal at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Normal eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Normal

Top eight tracts in Normal ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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