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Census Tract · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

East St. Louis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17163504501 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 2,357 · 87% of tract blocks fall in East St. Louis

Tract 17163504501, home to 2,357 residents in East St. Louis, scores 5.7/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 65% of US census tracts.

About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $20,168 a year. About 69% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 39% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,201
Renter share69.3%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate26.6%
Median income$20,168

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 10 tracts In East St. Louis
Elevated
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 68 tracts In St. Clair County
Very High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#575 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
National
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#16,850 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across East St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.5939, -90.1452 · click any tract to drill in

Why East St. Louis scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East St. Louis
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
26.6% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East St. Louis
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East St. Louis
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East St. Louis
4.5

How East St. Louis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East St. Louis risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 504501East St. Louis: 4.34.3East St. Louisparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East St. Louis

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 6.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East St. Louis, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Clair County average of 5.5 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 31.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 24.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17163504501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163504501?

Census tract 17163504501 in East St. Louis scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 17163504501?

26.6% of residents in tract 17163504501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,357.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 17163504501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 70th, minority 98th, housing 87th.
Q4

What share of households in tract 17163504501 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5

How does tract 17163504501 compare to East St. Louis overall?

Tract 17163504501 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of East St. Louis at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East St. Louis; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q6

Was tract 17163504501 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 59% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East St. Louis

Top eight tracts in East St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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