Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

East St. Louis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17163501400 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 1,879

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 17163501400 in East St. Louis, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,879. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 15% Owners 69%

Tract context

Occupied units728

Renter share30.6%

SVI overall0.47

Poverty rate29.8%

Median income$38,182

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across East St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.5953, -90.0637 · click any tract to drill in

Why East St. Louis scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from East St. Louis

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

29.8% poverty · this tract

7.4

Supply constraint

$885 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from East St. Louis

4.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from East St. Louis

3.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from East St. Louis

4.5

How East St. Louis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

72%Socioeconomic
22%Household composition
98%Racial/ethnic minority
14%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

1%Grade A
6%Grade B
62%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

25.4%Housing insecurity
19.1%Utility-shutoff threat
32.4%Food insecurity
36.3%SNAP enrollment
15.8%Transit barriers
9.8%No health insurance
17.7%Frequent mental distress
37.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East St. Louis

SNAP participation runs 36.3% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 2.3/10.

Cost burden runs 52% here against 44.8% across St. Clair County. Housing insecurity runs 25.4% against 14.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 7.4/10.

Against the St. Clair County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for East St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 5.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17163501400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163501400?

Census tract 17163501400 in East St. Louis scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17163501400?

Median gross rent is $885/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17163501400?

29.8% of residents in tract 17163501400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,879.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17163501400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 22th, minority 98th, housing 14th.

What share of households in tract 17163501400 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17163501400 compare to East St. Louis overall?

Tract 17163501400 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of East St. Louis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East St. Louis; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17163501400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East St. Louis

Top eight tracts in East St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.