Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
Northgate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield
Tract 17167000700 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 1,854 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 17167000700 belongs to the Northgate area of Springfield, Illinois. It is home to 1,854 residents and scores 5.8/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 69th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $985 a month while the average household earns $46,859 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units740
Renter share35.1%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$46,859
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
75
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 39.8144, -89.6224 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northgate scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Springfield
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$985 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
6.7
How Northgate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 22%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Northgate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.9%Housing insecurity
- 10.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.7%Food insecurity
- 22.1%SNAP enrollment
- 10.7%Transit barriers
- 9.6%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 35.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northgate
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Sangamon County average of 4.9 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17167000700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167000700?
Census tract 17167000700 in the Northgate neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17167000700?
Median gross rent is $985/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17167000700?
21.9% of residents in tract 17167000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,854.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17167000700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 47th, minority 32th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 17167000700 considered part of Northgate?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167000700 fall within Northgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17167000700 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17167000700 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 17167000700 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 17167000700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 22% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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