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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Northgate Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield

Tract 17167000700 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 1,854 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 17167000700 sits in the Northgate area of Grandview, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. Population here is 1,854. It sits 1.8 points above the Sangamon County average of 4.2.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 20% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units740
Renter share35.1%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$46,859

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Northgate
Very High
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Springfield
Moderate
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 54 tracts In Sangamon County
Very High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#851 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.8144, -89.6224 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northgate scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$985 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
6.7

How Northgate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Northgate risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 0007004.0Springfieldparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northgate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northgate

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 7.2/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 43% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Sangamon County average of 38.5%. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Springfield. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 4.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $985, close to the Grandview average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $46,859.

35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167000700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167000700?

Census tract 17167000700 in the Northgate neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17167000700?

Median gross rent is $985/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167000700?

21.9% of residents in tract 17167000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,854.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167000700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 47th, minority 32th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 17167000700 considered part of Northgate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167000700 fall within Northgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17167000700 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17167000700 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167000700 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17167000700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 22% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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