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Neighborhood

Eviction Risk in Northgate , Springfield

Tract 17167000600 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 4,249 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 17167000600 sits in the Northgate neighborhood of Springfield, Illinois. It has a population of 4,249 and an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). 72% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 19% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $783/month against a median household income of $40,699 — roughly 23% rent-to-income at the medians.

Eviction Risk
5.8
Moderate tier · 1-10 composite
Confidence 85%
Rent burden
72%
19% severely burdened (≥50%)
Median rent
$783
vs county FMR_2BR: -31%
Median household income
$40,699
38.2% below poverty line
Where

Tract location

Centroid at 39.8076, -89.6044. Drag to explore.

Demographics

Racial & ethnic composition

White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 4,286 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).

Hispanic / Latino: 1.3% White (non-Hispanic): 63.5% Black (non-Hispanic): 30% Other / Multiracial: 5.2%
  • Hispanic / Latino 1.3%
  • White (non-Hispanic) 63.5%
  • Black (non-Hispanic) 30%
  • Other / Multiracial 5.2%
Score breakdown

How the 5.8/10 score is composed

Signal Score Source
Filing rate (county) Eviction Lab via counties
State political climate 5.2 states.state_political_baseline
Regional political climate 4.8 2024 county presidential margin
Local political climate 5.0 Springfield (inherited)
Rent control risk 2.5 Springfield (inherited)
Eviction process difficulty 4.0 state law
Tenant organizing strength 4.0 Springfield (inherited)
Housing court bias 4.0 Springfield (inherited)
Economic stress (tract) 9.5 this tract poverty rate
Supply constraint (tract) 1.9 tract rent vs county FMR
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northgate. Closest by composite score.

Tract · IL
Northgate
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Northgate
5.0
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Northgate
5.0
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Northgate
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

1930s HOLC grade · historical context

Dominant grade: D — hazardous — formally redlined; mortgage applications routinely denied

Approximately 0% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Springfield. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167000600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167000600?

Census tract 17167000600 in the Northgate neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.

What is the median rent in tract 17167000600?

Median gross rent is $783/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167000600?

38.2% of residents in tract 17167000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,249.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167000600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 66th, minority 43th, housing 58th.

Is tract 17167000600 considered part of Northgate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167000600 fall within Northgate (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17167000600 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Was tract 17167000600 redlined?

The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is D (Hazardous / redlined). Roughly 0% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Springfield. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.