Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Northgate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 17167000600 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 4,249 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Northgate in Springfield is where census tract 17167000600 sits, home to 4,249 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.8/10. It lands near the 69th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 72% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $783 a month while the average household earns $40,699 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 8% Owners 71%

Tract context

Occupied units2,035

Renter share28.8%

SVI overall0.65

Poverty rate38.2%

Median income$40,699

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.8076, -89.6044 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northgate scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.8

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

38.2% poverty · this tract

9.5

Supply constraint

$783 rent vs county FMR

1.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

How Northgate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

66%Socioeconomic
66%Household composition
43%Racial/ethnic minority
58%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northgate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.3%Housing insecurity
13.7%Utility-shutoff threat
25.7%Food insecurity
30.2%SNAP enrollment
12.9%Transit barriers
10.7%No health insurance
20.7%Frequent mental distress
39.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northgate

What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Sangamon County average of 4.9 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167000600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167000600?

Census tract 17167000600 in the Northgate neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17167000600?

Median gross rent is $783/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167000600?

38.2% of residents in tract 17167000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,249.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167000600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 66th, minority 43th, housing 58th.

Is tract 17167000600 considered part of Northgate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167000600 fall within Northgate (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17167000600 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17167000600 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167000600 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17167000600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.