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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Northgate Eviction Risk: Lower , Springfield

Tract 17167000504 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 2,732 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 3.7/10, tract 17167000504 in the Northgate area of Springfield, IL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. At $1,321 a month, rents run 35% over what the rest of Springfield commands.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 7% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,236
Renter share12.1%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$83,971

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Northgate
Low
Within parent city
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#27 of 39 tracts In Springfield
Low
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 54 tracts In Sangamon County
Moderate
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#2,350 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.8270, -89.6096 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northgate scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,321 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
4.0

How Northgate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Northgate risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 0005044.0Springfieldparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northgate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northgate

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.6/10.

Against Sangamon County at 38.5%, 45% of renters here are cost-burdened. The voucher gap is 16.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Sangamon County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $83,971.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167000504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167000504?

Census tract 17167000504 in the Northgate neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17167000504?

Median gross rent is $1,321/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167000504?

10.4% of residents in tract 17167000504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,732.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167000504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 65th, minority 34th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 17167000504 considered part of Northgate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167000504 fall within Northgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17167000504 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17167000504 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167000504 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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