Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Northgate Eviction Risk: Lower , Springfield

Tract 17167000504 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 2,732 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Northgate in Springfield is where census tract 17167000504 sits, home to 2,732 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is $1/10. On the national scale it ranks #51,176 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,321 a month while the average household earns $83,971 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.6

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 7% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units1,236

Renter share12.1%

SVI overall0.28

Poverty rate10.4%

Median income$83,971

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.8270, -89.6096 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northgate scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.8

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

10.4% poverty · this tract

2.6

Supply constraint

$1,321 rent vs county FMR

6.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

How Northgate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

46%Socioeconomic
65%Household composition
34%Racial/ethnic minority
6%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northgate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.8%Housing insecurity
7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
13.7%Food insecurity
13.1%SNAP enrollment
7.5%Transit barriers
7.7%No health insurance
17.4%Frequent mental distress
30.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northgate

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sangamon County average of 4.9 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167000504

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167000504?

Census tract 17167000504 in the Northgate neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17167000504?

Median gross rent is $1,321/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167000504?

10.4% of residents in tract 17167000504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,732.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167000504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 65th, minority 34th, housing 6th.

Is tract 17167000504 considered part of Northgate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167000504 fall within Northgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17167000504 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17167000504 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167000504 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.