Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Northgate Eviction Risk: Lower , Springfield

Tract 17167000501 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 2,541 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 17167000501 (the Northgate area of Springfield, Illinois) comes in at 4.6/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #62,170 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 33% of renter households, a high level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,130 monthly, set against $100,865 in average yearly household income, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 6% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

3.4

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 4% Owners 94%

Tract context

Occupied units1,018

Renter share5.7%

SVI overall0.18

Poverty rate11.0%

Median income$100,865

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.8379, -89.6108 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northgate scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.8

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

11.0% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$1,130 rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

How Northgate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

13%Socioeconomic
79%Household composition
22%Racial/ethnic minority
10%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northgate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.6%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
11.0%Food insecurity
10.4%SNAP enrollment
6.2%Transit barriers
6.2%No health insurance
15.3%Frequent mental distress
30.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northgate

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Sangamon County average of 4.9 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167000501

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167000501?

Census tract 17167000501 in the Northgate neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17167000501?

Median gross rent is $1,130/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167000501?

11.0% of residents in tract 17167000501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,541.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167000501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 79th, minority 22th, housing 10th.

Is tract 17167000501 considered part of Northgate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167000501 fall within Northgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17167000501 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17167000501 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167000501 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.