Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally
Wilshire Eviction Risk: Lower , Rockford
Tract 17201000512 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 4,154 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
The Wilshire neighborhood of Rockford anchors census tract 17201000512, which lands at 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 23% of US census tracts.
About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,302 a month while the average household earns $72,725 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,357
Renter share38.9%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$72,725
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
29
th percentile
Low
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rockford and the region
Centroid at 42.2955, -88.9607 · click any tract to drill in
Why Wilshire scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rockford
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,302 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockford
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockford
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockford
3.5
How Wilshire compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Wilshire. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.4%Food insecurity
- 7.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 27.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Wilshire
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rockford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Winnebago County average of 5.0 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17201000512
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201000512?
Census tract 17201000512 in the Wilshire neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17201000512?
Median gross rent is $1,302/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17201000512?
4.1% of residents in tract 17201000512 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,154.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17201000512?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 62th, minority 24th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 17201000512 considered part of Wilshire?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201000512 fall within Wilshire (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17201000512 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17201000512 compare to Rockford overall?
Tract 17201000512 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Rockford at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rockford
Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Jackson Oaks
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Downtown Rockford
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Downtown Rockford
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Churchill's Grove
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
17201001800
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
17201002100
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
17201002400
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Jackson Oaks
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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