Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Rockford Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17201002700 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 2,761 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

17201002700 is a census tract in the Downtown Rockford area of Rockford, IL. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,761 residents. Food insecurity runs 41.2% against 17.8% nationally.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 29% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units1,099

Renter share51.5%

SVI overall0.88

Poverty rate25.8%

Median income$43,281

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2618, -89.1107 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Rockford scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Rockford

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

25.8% poverty · this tract

6.4

Supply constraint

$728 rent vs county FMR

1.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Rockford

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Rockford

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Rockford

3.5

How Downtown Rockford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

89%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
50%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
85%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Rockford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

31.6%Housing insecurity
20.4%Utility-shutoff threat
41.2%Food insecurity
40.3%SNAP enrollment
19.3%Transit barriers
23.6%No health insurance
20.5%Frequent mental distress
41.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Rockford

The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.2/10.

Average gross rent is $728, 26% below the Rockford average. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Adults with no health insurance runs 23.6% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Winnebago County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 8.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 43% of renters.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201002700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201002700?

Census tract 17201002700 in the Downtown Rockford neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17201002700?

Median gross rent is $728/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201002700?

25.8% of residents in tract 17201002700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,761.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201002700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 93th, minority 90th, housing 50th.

Is tract 17201002700 considered part of Downtown Rockford?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201002700 fall within Downtown Rockford (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17201002700 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17201002700 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201002700 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17201002700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 85% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.