Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Wilshire Eviction Risk: Lower , Rockford
Tract 17201000510 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 3,456 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 17201000510 sits in the Wilshire area of Rockford eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 3,456 residents. Average gross rent is $1,593, 62% above the Rockford average.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,401
Renter share14.3%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$107,411
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rockford and the region
Centroid at 42.3076, -88.9898 · click any tract to drill in
Why Wilshire scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rockford
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,593 rent vs county FMR
8.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockford
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockford
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockford
3.5
How Wilshire compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Wilshire. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 7.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 5.8%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 24.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Wilshire
The voucher gap is 34.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.5/10.
Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.5/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Against the Winnebago County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points.
Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.6/10.
Against average income of $107,411, annual rent is just 18%.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17201000510
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201000510?
Census tract 17201000510 in the Wilshire neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17201000510?
Median gross rent is $1,593/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17201000510?
5.9% of residents in tract 17201000510 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,456.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17201000510?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 15th, minority 42th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 17201000510 considered part of Wilshire?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201000510 fall within Wilshire (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17201000510 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17201000510 compare to Rockford overall?
Tract 17201000510 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Rockford at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rockford
Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Downtown Rockford
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Downtown Rockford
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Prairie Hill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Downtown Rockford
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Jackson Oaks
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Downtown Rockford
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Jackson Oaks
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Downtown Rockford
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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