Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Prairie Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rockford

Tract 17201001100 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 1,152 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 17201001100 sits in the Prairie Hill area of Rockford eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 1,152. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 42% Owners 14%

Tract context

Occupied units753

Renter share86.6%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate53.0%

Median income$17,691

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2653, -89.0845 · click any tract to drill in

Why Prairie Hill scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Rockford

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

53.0% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$549 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Rockford

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Rockford

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Rockford

3.5

How Prairie Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

96%Socioeconomic
79%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
92%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
22%Grade C
53%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

26.6%Housing insecurity
21.3%Utility-shutoff threat
39.9%Food insecurity
47.4%SNAP enrollment
19.3%Transit barriers
15.3%No health insurance
21.2%Frequent mental distress
46.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Prairie Hill

Average gross rent is $549, 44% below the Rockford average. The poverty rate is 53%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 87% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $17,691 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Housing insecurity runs 26.6% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Against Winnebago County at 44.4%, 51% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Winnebago County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201001100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201001100?

Census tract 17201001100 in the Prairie Hill neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17201001100?

Median gross rent is $549/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201001100?

53.0% of residents in tract 17201001100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,152.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201001100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 79th, minority 63th, housing 92th.

Is tract 17201001100 considered part of Prairie Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201001100 fall within Prairie Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17201001100 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17201001100 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201001100 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17201001100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 53% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.