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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Edgewater Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rockford

Tract 17201003606 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 2,701 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

17201003606 is a census tract in the Edgewater area of Rockford, IL. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 72%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 2% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,299
Renter share35.3%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate25.6%
Median income$47,275

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Edgewater
Elevated
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 54 tracts In Rockford
High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 80 tracts In Winnebago County
Elevated
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,219 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.3104, -89.0802 · click any tract to drill in

Why Edgewater scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rockford
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
25.6% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$850 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockford
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockford
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockford
3.5

How Edgewater compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Edgewater risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0036064.0Rockfordparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Edgewater. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Edgewater

Against Winnebago County at 44.4%, 93% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10.

The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.

SNAP participation runs 28.0% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Winnebago County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

At $850 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Rockford commands. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.

Housing insecurity runs 21.3% against 14.2% nationally. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Rockford. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $47,275.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201003606

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201003606?

Census tract 17201003606 in the Edgewater neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17201003606?

Median gross rent is $850/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 93% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201003606?

25.6% of residents in tract 17201003606 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,701.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201003606?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 92th, minority 57th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 17201003606 considered part of Edgewater?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201003606 fall within Edgewater (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17201003606 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17201003606 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201003606 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17201003606 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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