Edgewater Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rockford

The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10.

The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Disability prevalence runs 44.8% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Winnebago County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. SNAP participation runs 23.4% against 15.2% nationally.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Rockford. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Rockford eviction risk as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.