Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Capitol View Eviction Risk: Moderate , Iowa City
Tract 19103002300 · Johnson County, IA · pop 4,173 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
19103002300 is a census tract in the Capitol View area of Iowa City, IA. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 47%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units997
Renter share51.0%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate26.0%
Median income$65,647
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Iowa City and the region
Centroid at 41.6659, -91.5470 · click any tract to drill in
Why Capitol View scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Iowa City
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
26.0% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,195 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Iowa City
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Iowa City
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Iowa City
3.5
How Capitol View compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 25Total filings over 3 yrs
- 1.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2015)
- 11Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Capitol View. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.4%Food insecurity
- 8.6%SNAP enrollment
- 8.8%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 21.2%Frequent mental distress
- 23.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Capitol View
Cost burden runs 72% here against 49.2% across Johnson County. The main counterweight is state political climate at 2.3/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
It sits 1.3 points above the Johnson County average of 4.1. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 25 filings here across 3 tracked years.
Average gross rent is $1,195, 9% above the Iowa City average. Filings peaked in 2015 at 1.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 1.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.8/10.
Statewide the IA average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 19103002300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19103002300?
Census tract 19103002300 in the Capitol View neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19103002300?
Median gross rent is $1,195/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19103002300?
26.0% of residents in tract 19103002300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,173.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19103002300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 1th, minority 31th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 19103002300 considered part of Capitol View?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19103002300 fall within Capitol View (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19103002300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 19103002300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.33% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19103002300 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19103002300 compare to Iowa City overall?
Tract 19103002300 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Iowa City at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Iowa City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Iowa City
Top eight tracts in Iowa City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Manville Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Manville Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19103001801
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Manville Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Walden Hills
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol View
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Manville Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19103010401
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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