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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Fairmont Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines

Tract 19153000201 · Polk County, IA · pop 2,725 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

19153000201 is a census tract in the Fairmont Park area of Des Moines, IA. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,725 residents. Against Polk County at 42.0%, 21% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 24% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,146
Renter share30.7%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate17.7%
Median income$65,987

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Fairmont Park
Very High
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 60 tracts In Des Moines
Elevated
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 112 tracts In Polk County
Elevated
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#154 of 896 tracts In Iowa
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Des Moines and the region

Centroid at 41.6295, -93.5684 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fairmont Park scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
17.7% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$914 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5

How Fairmont Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fairmont Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0002013.4Des Moinesparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 460Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 13.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 31.1%Peak (2007)
  • 19Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 19153000201
Filings dropped 74% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fairmont Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fairmont Park

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Average gross rent is $914, 16% below the Des Moines average. The filing record is not thin: 460 evictions over 10 years of observation.

Against the Polk County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. The worst year on record was 2007, when 31.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Des Moines. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 13.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $65,987, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the IA average is 3.7, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153000201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153000201?

Census tract 19153000201 in the Fairmont Park neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153000201?

Median gross rent is $914/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153000201?

17.7% of residents in tract 19153000201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,725.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153000201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 76th, minority 47th, housing 60th.
Q5

Is tract 19153000201 considered part of Fairmont Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153000201 fall within Fairmont Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153000201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 460 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153000201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.89% of renter households, peaking at 31.1% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19153000201 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19153000201 compare to Des Moines overall?

Tract 19153000201 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 19153000201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 16% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines

Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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