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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Fairmont Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines

Tract 19153000202 · Polk County, IA · pop 2,798 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 5.2/10, tract 19153000202 in Fairmont Park in Des Moines ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,798 residents. That is riskier than about 46% of US census tracts.

About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,285 monthly, set against $59,625 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 15% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,299
Renter share31.4%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$59,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Fairmont Park
Very Low
Within parent city
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 60 tracts In Des Moines
Moderate
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#32 of 112 tracts In Polk County
Elevated
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#196 of 896 tracts In Iowa
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Des Moines and the region

Centroid at 41.6145, -93.5701 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fairmont Park scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,285 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5

How Fairmont Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fairmont Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 000202Des Moines: 2.62.6Des Moinesparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 155Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 6.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.3%Peak (2007)
  • 17Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 191530002022006: 10 filings (5.56/100 renter HHs)2007: 24 filings (13.33/100 renter HHs)2008: 17 filings (9.44/100 renter HHs)2009: 10 filings (5.56/100 renter HHs)2010: 13 filings (4.10/100 renter HHs)2011: 13 filings (4.23/100 renter HHs)2012: 18 filings (5.86/100 renter HHs)2013: 12 filings (3.91/100 renter HHs)2014: 21 filings (6.84/100 renter HHs)2015: 17 filings (5.54/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 70% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fairmont Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fairmont Park

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 29% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153000202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153000202?

Census tract 19153000202 in the Fairmont Park neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153000202?

Median gross rent is $1,285/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153000202?

12.7% of residents in tract 19153000202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,798.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153000202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 88th, minority 43th, housing 54th.
Q5

Is tract 19153000202 considered part of Fairmont Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153000202 fall within Fairmont Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153000202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 155 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153000202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.44% of renter households, peaking at 13.3% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19153000202 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19153000202 compare to Des Moines overall?

Tract 19153000202 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 19153000202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines

Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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