Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Fairmont Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153000202 · Polk County, IA · pop 2,798 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 19153000202 covers part of the Fairmont Park area of Des Moines, IA, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,798 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,299
Renter share31.4%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$59,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.6145, -93.5701 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fairmont Park scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,285 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How Fairmont Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 4%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 67%Grade C
- 29%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 155Total filings over 10 yrs
- 6.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.3%Peak (2007)
- 17Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 70% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fairmont Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.7%Food insecurity
- 11.7%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 31.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fairmont Park
53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Polk County average of 42.0%. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
Average gross rent is $1,285, 18% above the Des Moines average. Court records carry 155 eviction filings across 10 observed years. The worst year on record was 2007, when 13.3% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153000202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153000202?
Census tract 19153000202 in the Fairmont Park neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153000202?
Median gross rent is $1,285/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153000202?
12.7% of residents in tract 19153000202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,798.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153000202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 88th, minority 43th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 19153000202 considered part of Fairmont Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153000202 fall within Fairmont Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153000202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 155 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153000202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.44% of renter households, peaking at 13.3% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153000202 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153000202 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153000202 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153000202 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Mondamin Presidential
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol East
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Garton West
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Union Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Highland Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Martin Luther King Jr. Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Oak Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Indianola Hills
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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