Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
North of Grand Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153002900 · Polk County, IA · pop 3,784 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 19153002900 sits in the North of Grand area of Des Moines eviction risk, IA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. It is home to 3,784 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units2,353
Renter share58.0%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$59,914
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5887, -93.6641 · click any tract to drill in
Why North of Grand scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$966 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How North of Grand compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 100%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 536Total filings over 10 yrs
- 3.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2006)
- 54Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 7.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 25.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North of Grand
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 536 eviction filings across 10 observed years. SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally.
Average gross rent is $966, 11% below the Des Moines average. Filings peaked in 2006 at 4.3% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153002900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153002900?
Census tract 19153002900 in the North of Grand neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153002900?
Median gross rent is $966/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153002900?
11.2% of residents in tract 19153002900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,784.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153002900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 40th, minority 24th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 19153002900 considered part of North of Grand?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153002900 fall within North of Grand (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153002900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 536 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153002900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.62% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153002900 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153002900 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153002900 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153002900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Drake Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Sherman Hill
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Drake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Watrous South
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Somerset
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
River Bend
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19153000101
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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