Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
North of Grand Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153002900 · Polk County, IA · pop 3,784 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Here is how census tract 19153002900, in North of Grand in Des Moines eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 4.7/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,784. It lands near the 29th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $966 a month while the average household earns $59,914 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 58% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units2,353
Renter share58.0%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$59,914
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5887, -93.6641 · click any tract to drill in
Why North of Grand scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$966 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How North of Grand compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 100%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 536Total filings over 10 yrs
- 3.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2006)
- 54Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 7.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 25.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North of Grand
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153002900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153002900?
Census tract 19153002900 in the North of Grand neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153002900?
Median gross rent is $966/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153002900?
11.2% of residents in tract 19153002900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,784.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153002900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 40th, minority 24th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 19153002900 considered part of North of Grand?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153002900 fall within North of Grand (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153002900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 536 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153002900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.62% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153002900 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153002900 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153002900 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153002900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
King Irving
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Kirkwood Glen
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
19153000101
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Mondamin Presidential
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Drake Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Sherman Hill
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Prospect Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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