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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Pioneer Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Des Moines

Tract 19153003902 · Polk County, IA · pop 5,804 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 19153003902 covers part of the Pioneer Park area of Des Moines, IA, and scores 3.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,804 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 19% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,935
Renter share31.2%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$83,241

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Pioneer Park
Very Low
Within parent city
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#47 of 60 tracts In Des Moines
Low
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#71 of 112 tracts In Polk County
Low
Within state
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#557 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Des Moines and the region

Centroid at 41.5524, -93.5661 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pioneer Park scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$980 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5

How Pioneer Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pioneer Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 0039023.4Des Moinesparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,411Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 17.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.1%Peak (2007)
  • 92Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 19153003902
Filings dropped 43% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pioneer Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pioneer Park

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.7/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Court records carry 1,411 eviction filings across 10 observed years.

Against Polk County at 42.0%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 0.7 points below the Polk County average of 3.8.

At $980 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Des Moines commands. Filings peaked in 2007 at 26.1% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Des Moines. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 17.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $83,241, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153003902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153003902?

Census tract 19153003902 in the Pioneer Park neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153003902?

Median gross rent is $980/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153003902?

6.9% of residents in tract 19153003902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,804.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153003902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 90th, minority 70th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 19153003902 considered part of Pioneer Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153003902 fall within Pioneer Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153003902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,411 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153003902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.64% of renter households, peaking at 26.1% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19153003902 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19153003902 compare to Des Moines overall?

Tract 19153003902 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 19153003902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 14% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines

Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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