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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Pioneer Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines

Tract 19153003901 · Polk County, IA · pop 3,927 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Eviction risk in Pioneer Park in Des Moines centers on tract 19153003901, which scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,927 residents. That is riskier than about 46% of US census tracts.

About 58% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,010 a month against an average household income of $49,225 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 59% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 25% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,301
Renter share58.7%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate15.9%
Median income$49,225

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Pioneer Park
Very High
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#18 of 60 tracts In Des Moines
Elevated
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 112 tracts In Polk County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#129 of 896 tracts In Iowa
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Des Moines and the region

Centroid at 41.5621, -93.5878 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pioneer Park scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
15.9% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,010 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5

How Pioneer Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pioneer Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 003901Des Moines: 2.62.6Des Moinesparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,040Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 14.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.6%Peak (2014)
  • 110Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 191530039012006: 76 filings (10.52/100 renter HHs)2007: 103 filings (14.26/100 renter HHs)2008: 83 filings (11.49/100 renter HHs)2009: 91 filings (12.60/100 renter HHs)2010: 97 filings (13.25/100 renter HHs)2011: 91 filings (12.23/100 renter HHs)2012: 106 filings (14.25/100 renter HHs)2013: 137 filings (18.41/100 renter HHs)2014: 146 filings (19.62/100 renter HHs)2015: 110 filings (14.78/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 45% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pioneer Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pioneer Park

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153003901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153003901?

Census tract 19153003901 in the Pioneer Park neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153003901?

Median gross rent is $1,010/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153003901?

15.9% of residents in tract 19153003901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,927.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153003901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 90th, minority 80th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 19153003901 considered part of Pioneer Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153003901 fall within Pioneer Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153003901?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,040 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153003901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.14% of renter households, peaking at 19.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19153003901 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19153003901 compare to Des Moines overall?

Tract 19153003901 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 19153003901 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 95% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines

Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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