Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Pioneer Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153003901 · Polk County, IA · pop 3,927 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
19153003901 is a census tract in the Pioneer Park area of Des Moines, IA. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. Against Polk County at 42.0%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,301
Renter share58.7%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate15.9%
Median income$49,225
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
97
th percentile
Very High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5621, -93.5878 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pioneer Park scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
15.9% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,010 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How Pioneer Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 95%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,040Total filings over 10 yrs
- 14.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.6%Peak (2014)
- 110Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 45% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pioneer Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.9%Housing insecurity
- 16.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.7%Food insecurity
- 30.0%SNAP enrollment
- 15.8%Transit barriers
- 17.8%No health insurance
- 21.7%Frequent mental distress
- 37.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pioneer Park
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. SNAP participation runs 30.0% against 15.2% nationally.
The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
It sits 1.0 points above the Polk County average of 3.8. The filing record is not thin: 1,040 evictions over 10 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 19.6% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Des Moines. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 14.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153003901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153003901?
Census tract 19153003901 in the Pioneer Park neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153003901?
Median gross rent is $1,010/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153003901?
15.9% of residents in tract 19153003901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,927.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153003901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 90th, minority 80th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 19153003901 considered part of Pioneer Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153003901 fall within Pioneer Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153003901?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,040 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153003901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.14% of renter households, peaking at 19.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153003901 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153003901 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153003901 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153003901 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 95% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Kirkwood Glen
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Mondamin Presidential
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol East
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Garton West
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Union Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Highland Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Martin Luther King Jr. Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Oak Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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