Neighborhood · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally

Easter Lake Area Eviction Risk: Lower , Des Moines

Tract 19153010805 · Polk County, IA · pop 7,773 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Eviction risk in Easter Lake Area in Des Moines centers on tract 19153010805, which scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) and is home to 7,773 residents. On the national scale it ranks #78,663 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 5% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,359 a month while the average household earns $112,395 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.

Risk score

2.3

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 12% Owners 87%

Tract context

Occupied units2,741

Renter share12.5%

SVI overall0.21

Poverty rate1.1%

Median income$112,395

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Des Moines and the region

Centroid at 41.5358, -93.5723 · click any tract to drill in

Why Easter Lake Area scores 2.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Des Moines

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Iowa legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

1.1% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,359 rent vs county FMR

6.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Des Moines

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Des Moines

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Des Moines

2.5

How Easter Lake Area compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

17%Socioeconomic
26%Household composition
50%Racial/ethnic minority
32%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.5%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
10.6%Food insecurity
7.2%SNAP enrollment
5.9%Transit barriers
7.1%No health insurance
15.8%Frequent mental distress
23.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Easter Lake Area

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Polk County average of 5.0 and below the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153010805

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153010805?

Census tract 19153010805 in the Easter Lake Area neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 19153010805?

Median gross rent is $1,359/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 5% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153010805?

1.1% of residents in tract 19153010805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,773.

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153010805?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 26th, minority 50th, housing 32th.

Is tract 19153010805 considered part of Easter Lake Area?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153010805 fall within Easter Lake Area (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 19153010805 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 19153010805 compare to Des Moines overall?

Tract 19153010805 scores 2.3/10, lower than the parent city of Des Moines at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 19153010805 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines

Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.