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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Easter Lake Area Eviction Risk: Lower , Des Moines

Tract 19153010805 · Polk County, IA · pop 7,773 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 19153010805 covers part of the Easter Lake Area area of Des Moines, IA, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,773 residents. Cost burden runs 5% here against 42.0% across Polk County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 12% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,741
Renter share12.5%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate1.1%
Median income$112,395

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Easter Lake Area
Moderate
Within parent city
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 60 tracts In Des Moines
Very Low
Within county
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#106 of 112 tracts In Polk County
Very Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#590 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Des Moines and the region

Centroid at 41.5358, -93.5723 · click any tract to drill in

Why Easter Lake Area scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
1.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,359 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5

How Easter Lake Area compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Easter Lake Area risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0108053.4Des Moinesparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Easter Lake Area

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

Average gross rent is $1,359, 25% above the Des Moines average. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. SNAP participation runs 7.2% against 15.2% nationally.

Against the Polk County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Des Moines. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 2.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153010805

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153010805?

Census tract 19153010805 in the Easter Lake Area neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153010805?

Median gross rent is $1,359/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 5% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153010805?

1.1% of residents in tract 19153010805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,773.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153010805?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 26th, minority 50th, housing 32th.
Q5

Is tract 19153010805 considered part of Easter Lake Area?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153010805 fall within Easter Lake Area (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 19153010805 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 19153010805 compare to Des Moines overall?

Tract 19153010805 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 19153010805 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines

Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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