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Census Tract · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally

Johnston Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 19153011702 · Polk County, IA · pop 4,345 · 75% of tract blocks fall in Johnston

Census tract 19153011702 covers Johnston, home to 4,345 residents. For landlords it grades 5.6/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,330 monthly, set against $82,542 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 26% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,910
Renter share44.5%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$82,542

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Johnston
Elevated
Within county
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#77 of 112 tracts In Polk County
Low
Within state
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#672 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Low
National
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#68,306 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Johnston and the region

Centroid at 41.6662, -93.6903 · click any tract to drill in

Why Johnston scores 2.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Johnston
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,330 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Johnston
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Johnston
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Johnston
5.3

How Johnston compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Johnston risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.42.4This tracttract 011702Johnston: 2.32.3Johnstonparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 59Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 1.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.1%Peak (2013)
  • 10Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 191530117022006: 6 filings (1.92/100 renter HHs)2007: 4 filings (1.28/100 renter HHs)2008: 2 filings (0.64/100 renter HHs)2009: 4 filings (1.28/100 renter HHs)2010: 3 filings (0.47/100 renter HHs)2011: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 8 filings (1.23/100 renter HHs)2013: 14 filings (2.14/100 renter HHs)2014: 8 filings (1.23/100 renter HHs)2015: 10 filings (1.53/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 67% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Johnston

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Johnston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153011702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153011702?

Census tract 19153011702 in Johnston scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153011702?

Median gross rent is $1,330/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153011702?

7.4% of residents in tract 19153011702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,345.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153011702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 48th, minority 33th, housing 76th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153011702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 59 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 19153011702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.30% of renter households, peaking at 2.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 19153011702 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 19153011702 compare to Johnston overall?

Tract 19153011702 scores 2.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Johnston at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Johnston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Johnston

Top eight tracts in Johnston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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