Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Lower Beaver Eviction Risk: Lower , Des Moines
Tract 19153000704 · Polk County, IA · pop 3,161 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 19153000704 covers part of the Lower Beaver area of Des Moines, IA, and scores 3.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,161 residents. 11% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Polk County average of 42.0%.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,407
Renter share29.2%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$73,550
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
27
th percentile
Low
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.6373, -93.6719 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Beaver scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,250 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How Lower Beaver compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 5%Grade B
- 43%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 406Total filings over 10 yrs
- 12.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.0%Peak (2012)
- 49Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 158% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lower Beaver. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.6%Food insecurity
- 9.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lower Beaver
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 406 evictions over 10 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,250, 15% above the Des Moines average.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 24.0% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 12.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #56,048 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153000704
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153000704?
Census tract 19153000704 in the Lower Beaver neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153000704?
Median gross rent is $1,250/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153000704?
9.0% of residents in tract 19153000704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,161.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153000704?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 74th, minority 60th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 19153000704 considered part of Lower Beaver?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153000704 fall within Lower Beaver (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153000704?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 406 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153000704 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.36% of renter households, peaking at 24.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153000704 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153000704 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153000704 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153000704 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Mondamin Presidential
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Union Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol East
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Garton West
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Martin Luther King Jr. Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Highland Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Oak Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Indianola Hills
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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