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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Council Bluffs Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 19155030602 · Pottawattamie County, IA · pop 2,247

Census tract 19155030602 covers part of Council Bluffs, IA, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,247. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.9/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 25% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units836
Renter share38.6%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$53,649

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 22 tracts In Council Bluffs
Elevated
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 30 tracts In Pottawattamie County
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#87 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Very High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Council Bluffs and the region

Centroid at 41.2577, -95.8740 · click any tract to drill in

Why Council Bluffs scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Council Bluffs
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$932 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Council Bluffs
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Council Bluffs
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Council Bluffs
5.8

How Council Bluffs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Council Bluffs risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0306024.0Council Bluffsparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 95Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 6.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.4%Peak (2013)
  • 26Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 19155030602
Filings climbed 117% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Council Bluffs

19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.

Against the Pottawattamie County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. The filing record is not thin: 95 evictions over 4 years of observation.

At $932 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Council Bluffs commands. Filings peaked in 2013 at 8.4% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 6.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.4/10.

Statewide the IA average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 19155030602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19155030602?

Census tract 19155030602 in Council Bluffs scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19155030602?

Median gross rent is $932/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19155030602?

14.6% of residents in tract 19155030602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,247.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19155030602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 67th, minority 48th, housing 43th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19155030602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 95 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 19155030602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.86% of renter households, peaking at 8.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 19155030602 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 19155030602 compare to Council Bluffs overall?

Tract 19155030602 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Council Bluffs at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Council Bluffs eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 19155030602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 52% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Council Bluffs

Top eight tracts in Council Bluffs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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