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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

East End Eviction Risk: Lower , Dayton

Tract 21037051102 · Campbell County, KY · pop 1,833 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 3.1/10, tract 21037051102 in the East End area of Dayton, KY reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,833. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.1/10.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 8% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units638
Renter share12.2%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$99,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In East End
Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Dayton
Very Low
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#17 of 25 tracts In Campbell County
Low
Within state
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#919 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.1068, -84.4682 · click any tract to drill in

Why East End scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,255 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
7.7

How East End compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East End risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 0511024.1Daytonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East End

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.1/10.

Against the Campbell County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. Against Campbell County at 41.8%, 37% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $1,255 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Dayton commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #65,414 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $99,375, annual rent is just 15%.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21037051102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21037051102?

Census tract 21037051102 in the East End neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21037051102?

Median gross rent is $1,255/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21037051102?

4.3% of residents in tract 21037051102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,833.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21037051102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 20th, minority 4th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 21037051102 considered part of East End?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21037051102 fall within East End (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 21037051102 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 21037051102 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Dayton at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21037051102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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