Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

East End Eviction Risk: Lower , Dayton

Tract 21037051102 · Campbell County, KY · pop 1,833 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 21037051102 covers the East End neighborhood of Dayton, home to 1,833 residents. For landlords it grades 5.3/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 50% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 37% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,255 a month against an average household income of $99,375 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.1

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 8% Owners 87%

Tract context

Occupied units638

Renter share12.2%

SVI overall0.07

Poverty rate4.3%

Median income$99,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.1068, -84.4682 · click any tract to drill in

Why East End scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dayton

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

4.3% poverty · this tract

1.1

Supply constraint

$1,255 rent vs county FMR

4.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dayton

7.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dayton

7.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dayton

7.7

How East End compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

20%Socioeconomic
20%Household composition
4%Racial/ethnic minority
9%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
67%Grade B
6%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East End

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Campbell County average of 5.2 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 21037051102

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21037051102?

Census tract 21037051102 in the East End neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 21037051102?

Median gross rent is $1,255/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21037051102?

4.3% of residents in tract 21037051102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,833.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21037051102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 20th, minority 4th, housing 9th.

Is tract 21037051102 considered part of East End?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21037051102 fall within East End (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 21037051102 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 21037051102 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 21037051102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.