Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

East End Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 21037051200 · Campbell County, KY · pop 1,198 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 21037051200, home to 1,198 residents in East End in Dayton, scores 6.6/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 89th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 64% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $718 a month against an average household income of $24,563 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 60% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 22% Owners 40%

Tract context

Occupied units569

Renter share60.5%

SVI overall0.90

Poverty rate44.6%

Median income$24,563

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.1155, -84.4578 · click any tract to drill in

Why East End scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dayton

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

44.6% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$718 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dayton

7.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dayton

7.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dayton

7.7

How East End compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

94%Socioeconomic
88%Household composition
23%Racial/ethnic minority
84%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
7%Grade C
17%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East End

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Campbell County average of 5.2 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 17% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 21037051200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21037051200?

Census tract 21037051200 in the East End neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 21037051200?

Median gross rent is $718/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21037051200?

44.6% of residents in tract 21037051200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,198.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21037051200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 88th, minority 23th, housing 84th.

Is tract 21037051200 considered part of East End?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21037051200 fall within East End (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 21037051200 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 21037051200 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 21037051200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 17% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.