Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
East End Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton
Tract 21037051200 · Campbell County, KY · pop 1,198 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 5.5/10, tract 21037051200 in the East End area of Dayton, KY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 64% here against 41.8% across Campbell County.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units569
Renter share60.5%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate44.6%
Median income$24,563
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.1155, -84.4578 · click any tract to drill in
Why East End scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dayton
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
44.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$718 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
7.7
How East End compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 23%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 7%Grade C
- 17%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East End
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 45%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $718, 37% below the Dayton average.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $24,563 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Against the Campbell County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Covington. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.1/10. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 21037051200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21037051200?
Census tract 21037051200 in the East End neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21037051200?
Median gross rent is $718/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21037051200?
44.6% of residents in tract 21037051200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,198.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21037051200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 88th, minority 23th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 21037051200 considered part of East End?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21037051200 fall within East End (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 21037051200 compare to Dayton overall?
Tract 21037051200 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 21037051200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 17% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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