Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

East End Eviction Risk: Lower , Dayton

Tract 21037052200 · Campbell County, KY · pop 2,164 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 21037052200 covers part of the East End area of Bellevue, KY, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,164. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 2.1/10.

Risk score

3.7

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 6% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units1,025

Renter share12.9%

SVI overall0.13

Poverty rate8.2%

Median income$72,386

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.0994, -84.4728 · click any tract to drill in

Why East End scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dayton

4.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

8.2% poverty · this tract

2.1

Supply constraint

$1,520 rent vs county FMR

6.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dayton

6.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dayton

6.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dayton

6.4

How East End compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

17%Socioeconomic
5%Household composition
15%Racial/ethnic minority
47%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

15%Grade A
61%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East End

On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.1/10. about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Campbell County average of 41.8%.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,520, 20% above the Bellevue average.

The voucher gap is 18.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Campbell County average of 4.0 closely. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $72,386.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21037052200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21037052200?

Census tract 21037052200 in the East End neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 21037052200?

Median gross rent is $1,520/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21037052200?

8.2% of residents in tract 21037052200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,164.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21037052200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 5th, minority 15th, housing 47th.

Is tract 21037052200 considered part of East End?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21037052200 fall within East End (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 21037052200 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 21037052200 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Dayton at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 21037052200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.