Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Russell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville
Tract 21111000700 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,514 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 21111000700 in the Russell area of Louisville, KY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,514. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,138
Renter share66.3%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate43.5%
Median income$30,192
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Louisville and the region
Centroid at 38.2569, -85.8129 · click any tract to drill in
Why Russell scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
43.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$890 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0
How Russell compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 49%Grade B
- 51%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,241Total filings over 14 yrs
- 15.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.2%Peak (2014)
- 111Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 32% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Russell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Russell
The poverty rate is 43%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.2/10.
The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $30,192 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Jefferson County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.
The filing record is not thin: 1,241 evictions over 14 years of observation. 47% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Jefferson County average of 42.9%.
Average gross rent is $890, 12% below the Louisville average. The worst year on record was 2014, when 23.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Louisville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 21111000700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111000700?
Census tract 21111000700 in the Russell neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21111000700?
Median gross rent is $890/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21111000700?
43.5% of residents in tract 21111000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,514.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21111000700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 82th, minority 93th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 21111000700 considered part of Russell?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111000700 fall within Russell (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111000700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,241 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111000700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.76% of renter households, peaking at 23.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 21111000700 compare to Louisville overall?
Tract 21111000700 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 21111000700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Louisville
Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · KY
21111001100
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Wyandotte/Oakdale
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Beechmont
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111001200
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Wilder Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111001400
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Wyandotte/Oakdale
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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