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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Russell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville

Tract 21111000600 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 1,496 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Here is how census tract 21111000600, in the Russell area of Louisville eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.1/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 1,496. That is riskier than about 78% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $745 monthly, set against $30,343 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 71% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 31% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units691
Renter share71.3%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate26.3%
Median income$30,343

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 13 tracts In Russell
Low
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#34 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Elevated
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#362 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2549, -85.8031 · click any tract to drill in

Why Russell scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
26.3% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$745 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Russell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Russell risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 000600Louisville: 3.23.2Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,095Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 18.67%Avg annual filing rate
  • 35.0%Peak (2003)
  • 66Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110006002002: 64 filings (20.71/100 renter HHs)2003: 108 filings (34.95/100 renter HHs)2004: 87 filings (28.16/100 renter HHs)2005: 106 filings (21.86/100 renter HHs)2006: 85 filings (17.53/100 renter HHs)2007: 68 filings (14.02/100 renter HHs)2008: 84 filings (17.32/100 renter HHs)2009: 64 filings (13.20/100 renter HHs)2010: 63 filings (13.70/100 renter HHs)2011: 74 filings (16.16/100 renter HHs)2012: 63 filings (13.76/100 renter HHs)2013: 85 filings (18.56/100 renter HHs)2014: 78 filings (17.03/100 renter HHs)2015: 66 filings (14.41/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Russell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Russell

What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Part of this tract, about 38% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111000600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111000600?

Census tract 21111000600 in the Russell neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111000600?

Median gross rent is $745/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111000600?

26.3% of residents in tract 21111000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,496.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111000600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 86th, minority 94th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 21111000600 considered part of Russell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111000600 fall within Russell (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111000600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,095 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111000600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.67% of renter households, peaking at 35.0% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 21111000600 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111000600 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 21111000600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 38% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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