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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Russell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville

Tract 21111000201 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 1,433 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 21111000201 (the Russell neighborhood of Louisville, Kentucky) comes in at 6.7/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 90th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,092 a month against an average household income of $33,508 a year, roughly 39% of income at the averages. Renters make up 48% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 24% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units534
Renter share48.3%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate52.4%
Median income$33,508

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 13 tracts In Russell
Low
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Elevated
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#332 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2732, -85.7939 · click any tract to drill in

Why Russell scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
52.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,092 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Russell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Russell risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 000201Louisville: 3.23.2Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Russell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Russell

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 100% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111000201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111000201?

Census tract 21111000201 in the Russell neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111000201?

Median gross rent is $1,092/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111000201?

52.4% of residents in tract 21111000201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,433.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111000201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 97th, minority 47th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 21111000201 considered part of Russell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111000201 fall within Russell (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 21111000201 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111000201 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21111000201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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