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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Russell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville

Tract 21111000300 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,131 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 21111000300 runs through the Russell neighborhood of Louisville. With 2,131 residents, it scores 6.4/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 85% of US census tracts.

51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,126 monthly, set against $31,739 in average yearly household income, roughly 43% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 26% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units856
Renter share53.4%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate30.0%
Median income$31,739

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 13 tracts In Russell
Elevated
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#18 of 90 tracts In Louisville
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#21 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Very High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#264 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2655, -85.8038 · click any tract to drill in

Why Russell scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
30.0% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,126 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Russell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Russell risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 000300Louisville: 3.23.2Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 972Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 13.52%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.6%Peak (2007)
  • 77Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110003002002: 67 filings (15.23/100 renter HHs)2003: 89 filings (20.23/100 renter HHs)2004: 69 filings (15.68/100 renter HHs)2005: 75 filings (13.54/100 renter HHs)2006: 66 filings (11.91/100 renter HHs)2007: 92 filings (16.61/100 renter HHs)2008: 83 filings (14.98/100 renter HHs)2009: 55 filings (9.93/100 renter HHs)2010: 58 filings (12.31/100 renter HHs)2011: 52 filings (9.63/100 renter HHs)2012: 58 filings (10.74/100 renter HHs)2013: 62 filings (11.48/100 renter HHs)2014: 69 filings (12.78/100 renter HHs)2015: 77 filings (14.26/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Russell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Russell

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 972 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 13.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.6% of renter households in 2007.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111000300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111000300?

Census tract 21111000300 in the Russell neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111000300?

Median gross rent is $1,126/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111000300?

30.0% of residents in tract 21111000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,131.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111000300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 30th, minority 68th, housing 34th.
Q5

Is tract 21111000300 considered part of Russell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111000300 fall within Russell (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111000300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 972 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111000300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.52% of renter households, peaking at 16.6% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 21111000300 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111000300 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 21111000300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 24% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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