Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111007603 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,497

Eviction risk in Louisville eviction risk centers on tract 21111007603, which scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,497 residents. That is riskier than about 72% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,270 monthly, set against $62,045 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 59% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 32% Owners 42%

Tract context

Occupied units1,360

Renter share58.5%

SVI overall0.55

Poverty rate16.5%

Median income$62,045

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2665, -85.6953 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Louisville

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.0

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

16.5% poverty · this tract

4.1

Supply constraint

$1,270 rent vs county FMR

4.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Louisville

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Louisville

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Louisville

5.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

59%Socioeconomic
43%Household composition
49%Racial/ethnic minority
51%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

22%Grade A
4%Grade B
54%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,167Total filings over 14 yrs
10.66%Avg annual filing rate
19.2%Peak (2007)
46Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2002 to 2015

Filings dropped 26% over the past 14 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,167 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 10.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 19.2% of renter households in 2007.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111007603

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111007603?

Census tract 21111007603 in Louisville scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 21111007603?

Median gross rent is $1,270/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111007603?

16.5% of residents in tract 21111007603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,497.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111007603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 43th, minority 49th, housing 51th.

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111007603?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,167 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111007603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.66% of renter households, peaking at 19.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

How does tract 21111007603 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111007603 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 21111007603 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org