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Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111012503 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,634 · 86% of tract blocks fall in Louisville

Census tract 21111012503 covers Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), home to 3,634 residents. For landlords it grades 5.5/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 57th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 66% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 55% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $762 monthly, set against $58,137 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 25% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 9% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,488
Renter share25.2%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate18.0%
Median income$58,137

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#26 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Elevated
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#84 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Elevated
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#740 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Moderate
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,389 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.1731, -85.8475 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
18.0% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$762 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 012503Louisville: 2.42.4Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,352Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 18.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.9%Peak (2011)
  • 88Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110125032002: 88 filings (19.86/100 renter HHs)2003: 71 filings (16.02/100 renter HHs)2004: 61 filings (13.77/100 renter HHs)2005: 89 filings (15.11/100 renter HHs)2006: 95 filings (16.12/100 renter HHs)2007: 85 filings (14.43/100 renter HHs)2008: 91 filings (15.44/100 renter HHs)2009: 74 filings (12.56/100 renter HHs)2010: 71 filings (14.70/100 renter HHs)2011: 144 filings (26.87/100 renter HHs)2012: 135 filings (25.19/100 renter HHs)2013: 141 filings (26.31/100 renter HHs)2014: 119 filings (22.20/100 renter HHs)2015: 88 filings (16.42/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 4.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk/Jefferson County metro government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,352 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 18.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 26.9% of renter households in 2011.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111012503

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012503?

Census tract 21111012503 in Louisville scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111012503?

Median gross rent is $762/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012503?

18.0% of residents in tract 21111012503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,634.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 94th, minority 63th, housing 54th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111012503?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,352 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111012503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.21% of renter households, peaking at 26.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111012503 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111012503 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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