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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Wyandotte/Oakdale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville

Tract 21111012802 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,992 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

21111012802 is a census tract in the Wyandotte/Oakdale area of Shively, KY. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,992 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 27% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,292
Renter share40.1%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate22.5%
Median income$43,787

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 7 tracts In Wyandotte/Oakdale
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Louisville
Moderate
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#20 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2099, -85.7927 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wyandotte/Oakdale scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
22.5% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$809 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
7.5

How Wyandotte/Oakdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Wyandotte/Oakdale risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0128024.0Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 814Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 12.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.6%Peak (2008)
  • 72Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111012802
Filings climbed 95% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Wyandotte/Oakdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wyandotte/Oakdale

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. Cost burden runs 32% here against 42.9% across Jefferson County. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10.

Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Jefferson County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The filing record is not thin: 814 evictions over 14 years of observation.

Average gross rent is $809, 10% below the Shively average. The worst year on record was 2008, when 20.6% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 12.9% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111012802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012802?

Census tract 21111012802 in the Wyandotte/Oakdale neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111012802?

Median gross rent is $809/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012802?

22.5% of residents in tract 21111012802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,992.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 93th, minority 80th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 21111012802 considered part of Wyandotte/Oakdale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111012802 fall within Wyandotte/Oakdale (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111012802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 814 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111012802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.94% of renter households, peaking at 20.6% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 21111012802 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111012802 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 21111012802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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