Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Shively Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 21111012603 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,413 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Shively
In Shively, census tract 21111012603 scores 5.7/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 65th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 31% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,048 a month while the average household earns $54,708 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 34% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,323
Renter share33.6%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$54,708
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
38
th percentile
Low
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shively and the region
Centroid at 38.1911, -85.8196 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shively scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shively
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,048 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shively
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shively
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shively
7.5
How Shively compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 738Total filings over 14 yrs
- 13.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.7%Peak (2013)
- 57Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 159% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shively
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shively eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 738 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 13.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.7% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 21111012603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012603?
Census tract 21111012603 in Shively scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21111012603?
Median gross rent is $1,048/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012603?
10.6% of residents in tract 21111012603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,413.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 98th, minority 73th, housing 12th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111012603?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 738 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111012603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.03% of renter households, peaking at 17.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 21111012603 compare to Shively overall?
Tract 21111012603 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Shively at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shively eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shively
Top eight tracts in Shively ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related
Explore the geography around tract 21111012603
Parent city ↑
Shively
2.7 / 10
Parent county ↑
Jefferson County
Parent state ↑
Kentucky
Sibling tract →
Tract 21111007602
3.9 / 10
Sibling tract →
Original Highland Neighborhood
3.9 / 10
Sibling tract →
Tract 21111011302
3.9 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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