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Shively, Kentucky eviction risk overview
City brief · 15,638 residents

Shively, KY Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Jefferson County · Population 15,638

In 2026
Risk score
4.6
MODERATE

99th percentile, Kentucky.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.8 Average3.9 Now4.6
10 5 1976 · score 3.2 1977 · score 3.2 1978 · score 3.3 1979 · score 3.5 1980 · score 3.4 1981 · score 3.4 1982 · score 3.5 1983 · score 3.4 1984 · score 2.8 1985 · score 2.8 1986 · score 2.8 1987 · score 2.9 1988 · score 3.2 1989 · score 3.2 1990 · score 3.3 1991 · score 3.4 1992 · score 3.8 1993 · score 3.8 1994 · score 3.8 1995 · score 3.9 1996 · score 3.9 1997 · score 3.9 1998 · score 4.0 1999 · score 4.0 2000 · score 3.1 2001 · score 3.2 2002 · score 3.3 2003 · score 3.3 2004 · score 3.3 2005 · score 3.3 2006 · score 3.4 2007 · score 3.5 2008 · score 3.9 2009 · score 4.0 2010 · score 4.1 2011 · score 4.2 2012 · score 4.0 2013 · score 4.1 2014 · score 4.2 2015 · score 4.4 2016 · score 4.4 2017 · score 4.5 2018 · score 4.8 2019 · score 5.0 2020 · score 5.7 2021 · score 5.7 2022 · score 5.8 2023 · score 5.7 2024 · score 5.6 2025 · score 6.4 2026 · score 4.6

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 6.4 Regional 6.4 State 2.1 Economic 7.5 Supply 6.3 Rent Control 7.5 Eviction 1.8 Tenant 8.4 Housing 7.5 4.6 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +16.6% (2024)
    6.4
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    6.4
  3. State political climate
    Kentucky legislature & governorship
    2.1
  4. Economic stress
    17.6% poverty · 6.4% unemp.
    7.5
  5. Supply constraint
    $899 average · 38.2% renters
    6.3
  6. Rent Control risk
    29.9% of income on rent
    7.5
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    33 days filing → judgment
    1.8
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    38.2% renters
    8.4
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    7.5
Geographic context

Risk heat across Shively and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Shively compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Jefferson County
Very High
#6 of 81 cities
Rank in county, 94th percentileBottomTop
#6 of 81 cities in Jefferson County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Kentucky
Very High
#11 of 553 cities
Rank in state, 98th percentileBottomTop
#11 of 553 cities in Kentucky for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Shively risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Shively: 4.64.6ShivelyThis cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 4.6
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 4.6/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+1.4 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 33d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $899/mo. A contested eviction takes 33 days and costs $1,310-$2,800 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 38.2%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 15,638 residents, 38.2% rent. 30% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 17.6% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 6.4
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 6.4 and 6.4 (Dem margin +16.6% (2024)). State climate at 2.1, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 2.1
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 2.1/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.8, housing court bias 7.5, rent-control risk 7.5. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.2 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 7.5
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 7.5. Supply constraint: 6.3. The numbers behind those: 17.6% poverty, 6.4% unemployment, 30% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Shively sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Louisville/Jefferson County metro government, KY · 34d · ~$2.1k all-in ($62/day) · score 4.1 Louisville/Jefferson County metro government Louisville, KY · 32d · ~$2.1k all-in ($64/day) · score 4.4 Louisville Lexington-Fayette urban county, KY · 32d · ~$2.1k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.7 Lexington-Fayette urban county Bowling Green, KY · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($63/day) · score 2.3 Bowling Green Owensboro, KY · 35d · ~$2.2k all-in ($62/day) · score 2.1 Owensboro Indianapolis, IN · 37d · ~$2.4k all-in ($64/day) · score 5.6 Indianapolis Cincinnati, OH · 37d · ~$2.8k all-in ($75/day) · score 5.2 Cincinnati Clarksville, TN · 35d · ~$2.1k all-in ($59/day) · score 2.3 Clarksville Dayton, OH · 38d · ~$2.6k all-in ($67/day) · score 4.5 Dayton Evansville, IN · 37d · ~$2.5k all-in ($67/day) · score 2.8 Evansville Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Shively
Shively · 33d · ~$2.1k all-in ($62/day) · score 4.6 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Shively, KY

Landlording in Shively, Kentucky, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.6/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Shively is a city of 15,638 residents where 38.2% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 29.9% of income on rent. At an average rent of $899/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Shively eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.8/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Shively closes 33 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Shively's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 7.5/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Shively runs $1,310 to $2,800 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 33 days of typical timeline and $899/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 8.4/10 in Shively, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (7.5/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Kentucky, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Shively: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Kentucky's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $2,800 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Shively

Trap · 38.2%
38.2% renter share against 15,638 residents produces roughly 5,974 rental occupants in Shively. Jefferson County voted D 20.1% in 2020. Eviction filings tend to cluster in the multifamily rental corridor.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Shively for being a nuisance?

Yes, if the nuisance violates a term of your lease agreement, you can typically issue a notice to cure or quit. If the tenant doesn't fix the issue, you can proceed with an eviction filing. Your lease must clearly define what constitutes a nuisance.

Q2

What if my Shively tenant pays part of the rent after I issue a 7-day notice?

Accepting partial payment can sometimes waive your right to evict based on that specific 7-day notice. It's generally safer to decline partial payments once an eviction notice is issued, or consult with an attorney to ensure you don't inadvertently restart the process. If you accept partial payment, you might need to issue a new notice for the remaining balance.

Q3

How long does it take for the sheriff to remove a tenant after a court order in Shively?

After the judge issues a Writ of Restitution, the sheriff's office will typically schedule the lockout within a few days to a week or two, depending on their caseload. There's no fixed statewide rule, so it varies. Stay in communication with the court clerk or sheriff's office for specific timing.

Q4

Is there a specific form I need for the 7-day pay-or-quit notice in Kentucky?

While Kentucky law doesn't mandate a specific form, the notice must contain certain information, including the amount of rent due, the period for which it's due, and a clear statement that the tenant must pay or quit the premises within 7 days. Using a legally compliant template is always recommended.

Q5

Can I keep the security deposit for unpaid rent in Shively?

Yes, unpaid rent is a valid reason to deduct from the security deposit. Remember to provide an itemized list of deductions to the tenant within 60 days of move-out, as required by Kentucky law. For more on this, check Kentucky security deposit rules.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 4.6/10 places Shively in the 99th percentile of Kentucky cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.