Census Tract · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Shively Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111012606 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,594 · 64% of tract blocks fall in Shively

Census tract 21111012606 covers part of Shively, KY, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 29% here against 42.9% across Jefferson County.

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 18% Owners 75%

Tract context

Occupied units1,446

Renter share25.2%

SVI overall0.28

Poverty rate15.4%

Median income$68,804

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shively and the region

Centroid at 38.2027, -85.8248 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shively scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Shively

6.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.0

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

15.4% poverty · this tract

3.9

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Shively

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Shively

8.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Shively

7.5

How Shively compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

29%Socioeconomic
47%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
12%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shively

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10.

The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Jefferson County average of 4.0 closely.

25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111012606

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012606?

Census tract 21111012606 in Shively scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012606?

15.4% of residents in tract 21111012606 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,594.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012606?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 47th, minority 83th, housing 12th.

How does tract 21111012606 compare to Shively overall?

Tract 21111012606 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Shively at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shively eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Shively

Top eight tracts in Shively ranked by composite eviction-risk score.