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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Howardsville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lochearn

Tract 24005403300 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 2,268 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 24005403300 covers part of the Howardsville area of Lochearn, MD, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Baltimore County average of 46.8%.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 11% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,028
Renter share32.0%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$87,105

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Howardsville
Moderate
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 8 tracts In Lochearn
Low
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#117 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Moderate
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#648 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lochearn and the region

Centroid at 39.3661, -76.7353 · click any tract to drill in

Why Howardsville scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lochearn
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,571 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lochearn
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lochearn
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lochearn
6.5

How Howardsville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Howardsville risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 4033005.9Lochearnparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Howardsville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Howardsville

35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Baltimore County average of 5.7 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,571, close to the Lochearn average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $87,105. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005403300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005403300?

Census tract 24005403300 in the Howardsville neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24005403300?

Median gross rent is $1,571/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005403300?

5.9% of residents in tract 24005403300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,268.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005403300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 13th, minority 74th, housing 20th.
Q5

Is tract 24005403300 considered part of Howardsville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005403300 fall within Howardsville (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24005403300 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24005403300 compare to Lochearn overall?

Tract 24005403300 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Lochearn at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lochearn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24005403300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lochearn

Top eight tracts in Lochearn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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