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Neighborhood · Lochearn, MD

Howardsville Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 9,342 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 5.4–6.1

Howardsville takes in 3 census tracts of Lochearn, MD, population 9,342. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.7/10, in the Moderate tier. 40% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

63% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Lochearn rate of 34.1%. At $1,973 a month, rents sit 35% over what the rest of Lochearn commands. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.7/10.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.6/10. That places it #6 of 5 neighborhoods in Lochearn.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Woodmoor and Willow Glen. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Its 3 tracts score within 0.7 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $87,034.

33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 5.7/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Howardsville vs Lochearn How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
62.9% +84%
Lochearn: 34.1%
Average gross rent
$1,973 +35%
Lochearn: $1,460
Average HH income
$87,034 +14%
Lochearn: $76,256
Poverty rate
6.7% -27%
Lochearn: 9.1%
Renter share
32.9% -6%
Lochearn: 35.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Howardsville and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.4–6.1

Why Howardsville scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.7–8.9 across tracts
8.1
Rent control risk
63% of income on rent · Range 6.9–8.1 across tracts
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.4 across tracts
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
33% renter households · Range 6.6–6.8 across tracts
6.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.7–6.5 across tracts
6.2
Economic stress
6.7% below poverty line · Range 1.1–2.3 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–7.8 across tracts
5.1
Risk score comparison

Howardsville vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Howardsville score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.7HowardsvilleNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Howardsville?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.7 points from 5.4 to 6.1. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Howardsville

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24005403401 6.1 3,604 54% $1,706
24005403300 5.6 2,268 67% $1,571
24005403201 5.4 3,470 70% $2,513
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 49

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 33%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 55%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 75%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 57%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Howardsville

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Howardsville

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Howardsville?

Howardsville scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Howardsville compare to Lochearn overall?

Howardsville scores 0.2 points lower than Lochearn overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,973 vs $1,460.
Q3

What is the average rent in Howardsville?

Average gross rent in Howardsville is $1,973/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Howardsville residents are renters?

33% of Howardsville households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Lochearn). The neighborhood has 9,342 residents.
Q5

Is Howardsville a high social-vulnerability area?

Howardsville sits in the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Howardsville have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Howardsville is census tract 24005403401 (score 6.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 6.1, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Howardsville for landlords?

Howardsville carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lochearn as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Howardsville?

Howardsville has 9,700 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (52.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (31.1%), Hispanic / Latino (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Howardsville

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lochearn

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Howardsville.

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