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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Eastfield Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dundalk

Tract 24005421101 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 3,000 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 24005421101 (the Eastfield area of Dundalk, Maryland) comes in at 7.3/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 97th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,060 monthly, set against $57,976 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 23% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,276
Renter share50.3%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$57,976

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Eastfield
Very High
Within parent city
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 21 tracts In Dundalk
Low
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#300 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dundalk and the region

Centroid at 39.2551, -76.5162 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastfield scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dundalk
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,060 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dundalk
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dundalk
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dundalk
8.1

How Eastfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eastfield risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 421101Dundalk: 6.56.5Dundalkparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eastfield. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastfield

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Baltimore County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005421101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005421101?

Census tract 24005421101 in the Eastfield neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24005421101?

Median gross rent is $1,060/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005421101?

12.8% of residents in tract 24005421101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,000.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005421101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 62th, minority 46th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 24005421101 considered part of Eastfield?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005421101 fall within Eastfield (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24005421101 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24005421101 compare to Dundalk overall?

Tract 24005421101 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Dundalk at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24005421101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dundalk

Top eight tracts in Dundalk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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