Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Turner Station Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dundalk

Tract 24005421102 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 2,621 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Here is how census tract 24005421102, in the Turner Station neighborhood of Dundalk eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.8/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,621. That puts it among the highest-scoring tracts in the entire country, the top 1% nationally for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 80% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 52% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,929 a month while the average household earns $63,256 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. About 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 7% Owners 66%

Tract context

Occupied units1,115

Renter share33.5%

SVI overall0.65

Poverty rate23.7%

Median income$63,256

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dundalk and the region

Centroid at 39.2499, -76.5234 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turner Station scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dundalk

8.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.4

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

23.7% poverty · this tract

5.9

Supply constraint

$1,929 rent vs county FMR

4.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dundalk

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dundalk

7.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dundalk

8.1

How Turner Station compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

86%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
45%Racial/ethnic minority
18%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
3%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.0%Housing insecurity
11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
23.9%Food insecurity
21.1%SNAP enrollment
11.6%Transit barriers
13.5%No health insurance
20.0%Frequent mental distress
35.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turner Station

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Baltimore County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005421102

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005421102?

Census tract 24005421102 in the Turner Station neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24005421102?

Median gross rent is $1,929/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005421102?

23.7% of residents in tract 24005421102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,621.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005421102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 78th, minority 45th, housing 18th.

Is tract 24005421102 considered part of Turner Station?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005421102 fall within Turner Station (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24005421102 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24005421102 compare to Dundalk overall?

Tract 24005421102 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Dundalk at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 24005421102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dundalk

Top eight tracts in Dundalk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.