Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Rodgers Forge Eviction Risk: Lower , Towson

Tract 24005490601 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 2,280 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 24005490601 runs through Rodgers Forge in Towson. With 2,280 residents, it scores 6.7/10 for landlords. It lands near the 90th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 38% of renter households, a high level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,188 monthly, set against $174,107 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 9% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.2

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 6% Owners 90%

Tract context

Occupied units841

Renter share9.4%

SVI overall0.01

Poverty rate4.6%

Median income$174,107

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Towson and the region

Centroid at 39.3751, -76.6142 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rodgers Forge scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Towson

6.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.4

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

4.6% poverty · this tract

1.2

Supply constraint

$2,188 rent vs county FMR

6.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Towson

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Towson

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Towson

6.6

How Rodgers Forge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

1%Socioeconomic
29%Household composition
12%Racial/ethnic minority
3%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

61%Grade A
4%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rodgers Forge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.3%Housing insecurity
3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
5.8%Food insecurity
3.8%SNAP enrollment
3.8%Transit barriers
4.1%No health insurance
13.3%Frequent mental distress
17.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rodgers Forge

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Towson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Baltimore County average of 6.7 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005490601

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005490601?

Census tract 24005490601 in the Rodgers Forge neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24005490601?

Median gross rent is $2,188/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005490601?

4.6% of residents in tract 24005490601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,280.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005490601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 29th, minority 12th, housing 3th.

Is tract 24005490601 considered part of Rodgers Forge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005490601 fall within Rodgers Forge (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24005490601 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24005490601 compare to Towson overall?

Tract 24005490601 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Towson at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Towson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 24005490601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Towson

Top eight tracts in Towson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.