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Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Rodgers Forge Eviction Risk: Lower , Towson

Tract 24005490602 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 3,015 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

In the Rodgers Forge area of Towson, census tract 24005490602 scores 7.1/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #3,562 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,772 a month while the average household earns $122,639 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 20% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,307
Renter share40.8%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$122,639

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Rodgers Forge
Very High
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 19 tracts In Towson
Moderate
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#91 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Elevated
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#618 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Towson and the region

Centroid at 39.3813, -76.6132 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rodgers Forge scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Towson
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,772 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Towson
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Towson
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Towson
6.6

How Rodgers Forge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rodgers Forge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 490602Towson: 6.26.2Towsonparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rodgers Forge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rodgers Forge

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Towson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Baltimore County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005490602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005490602?

Census tract 24005490602 in the Rodgers Forge neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24005490602?

Median gross rent is $1,772/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005490602?

10.0% of residents in tract 24005490602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,015.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005490602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 8th, minority 34th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 24005490602 considered part of Rodgers Forge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005490602 fall within Rodgers Forge (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24005490602 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24005490602 compare to Towson overall?

Tract 24005490602 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Towson at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Towson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24005490602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Towson

Top eight tracts in Towson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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