Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally
Willson Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Aspen Hill
Tract 24031703215 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,396 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 24031703215 covers part of the Willson Hills area of Aspen Hill, MD, and scores 7.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,396 residents. about three-quarters of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Montgomery County average of 46.7%.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,041
Renter share43.7%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$96,139
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aspen Hill and the region
Centroid at 39.0847, -77.0540 · click any tract to drill in
Why Willson Hills scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Aspen Hill
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,222 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aspen Hill
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aspen Hill
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aspen Hill
6.5
How Willson Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Willson Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.4%Housing insecurity
- 10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.2%Food insecurity
- 15.8%SNAP enrollment
- 9.9%Transit barriers
- 14.8%No health insurance
- 14.3%Frequent mental distress
- 28.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Willson Hills
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10.
Against the Montgomery County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.2/10.
At $2,222 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Aspen Hill commands. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 8.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $96,139.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031703215
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031703215?
Census tract 24031703215 in the Willson Hills neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031703215?
Median gross rent is $2,222/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031703215?
13.3% of residents in tract 24031703215 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,396.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031703215?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 60th, minority 81th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 24031703215 considered part of Willson Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031703215 fall within Willson Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031703215 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031703215 compare to Aspen Hill overall?
Tract 24031703215 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Aspen Hill at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aspen Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Aspen Hill
Top eight tracts in Aspen Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
Harmony Hills
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
English Manor
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Willson Hills
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Aspen Hill Park
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Wheaton Woods
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Aspen Knolls
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Sycamore Creek
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Allanwood
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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