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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Willson Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Aspen Hill

Tract 24031703215 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,396 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

How risky is Willson Hills in Aspen Hill for landlords? Census tract 24031703215 scores 7.4/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 98th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 76% of renter households, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,222 a month against an average household income of $96,139 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 10% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,041
Renter share43.7%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$96,139

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Willson Hills
Very High
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 10 tracts In Aspen Hill
High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#49 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#580 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aspen Hill and the region

Centroid at 39.0847, -77.0540 · click any tract to drill in

Why Willson Hills scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aspen Hill
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,222 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aspen Hill
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aspen Hill
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aspen Hill
6.5

How Willson Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Willson Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 703215Aspen Hill: 6.46.4Aspen Hillparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Willson Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Willson Hills

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aspen Hill eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031703215

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031703215?

Census tract 24031703215 in the Willson Hills neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24031703215?

Median gross rent is $2,222/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031703215?

13.3% of residents in tract 24031703215 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,396.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031703215?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 60th, minority 81th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 24031703215 considered part of Willson Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031703215 fall within Willson Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24031703215 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24031703215 compare to Aspen Hill overall?

Tract 24031703215 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Aspen Hill at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aspen Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aspen Hill

Top eight tracts in Aspen Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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