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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally

Willson Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Aspen Hill

Tract 24031703220 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 5,426 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 24031703220 covers part of the Willson Hills area of Aspen Hill, MD, and scores 6.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,426 residents. Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 18% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,836
Renter share36.2%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$101,866

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Willson Hills
Very Low
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 10 tracts In Aspen Hill
Elevated
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#69 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#320 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aspen Hill and the region

Centroid at 39.0960, -77.0512 · click any tract to drill in

Why Willson Hills scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aspen Hill
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,596 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aspen Hill
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aspen Hill
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aspen Hill
6.5

How Willson Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Willson Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.9This tracttract 7032206.6Aspen Hillparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Willson Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Willson Hills

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10. At $1,596 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Aspen Hill commands. It sits 0.9 points above the Montgomery County average of 6.0.

Nationally it ranks #13,349 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.6/10. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for about half of renters. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $101,866.

36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031703220

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031703220?

Census tract 24031703220 in the Willson Hills neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24031703220?

Median gross rent is $1,596/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031703220?

6.3% of residents in tract 24031703220 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,426.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031703220?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 84th, minority 82th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 24031703220 considered part of Willson Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031703220 fall within Willson Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24031703220 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24031703220 compare to Aspen Hill overall?

Tract 24031703220 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Aspen Hill at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aspen Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aspen Hill

Top eight tracts in Aspen Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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