Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally

Green Tree Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Bethesda

Tract 24031704502 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 2,949 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Here is how census tract 24031704502, in the Green Tree Manor neighborhood of Bethesda eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.6/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,949. It lands near the 89th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 30% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $3,501 a month against an average household income of $250,001 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

1.7

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 8% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units988

Renter share11.6%

SVI overall0.05

Poverty rate6.1%

Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bethesda and the region

Centroid at 39.0090, -77.1363 · click any tract to drill in

Why Green Tree Manor scores 1.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bethesda

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

6.1% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$3,501 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bethesda

5.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bethesda

7.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bethesda

4.2

How Green Tree Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

4%Socioeconomic
40%Household composition
47%Racial/ethnic minority
4%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

4.5%Housing insecurity
2.8%Utility-shutoff threat
4.6%Food insecurity
2.6%SNAP enrollment
3.0%Transit barriers
3.5%No health insurance
9.6%Frequent mental distress
17.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Green Tree Manor

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 4.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031704502

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031704502?

Census tract 24031704502 in the Green Tree Manor neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24031704502?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031704502?

6.1% of residents in tract 24031704502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,949.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031704502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 40th, minority 47th, housing 4th.

Is tract 24031704502 considered part of Green Tree Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031704502 fall within Green Tree Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24031704502 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24031704502 compare to Bethesda overall?

Tract 24031704502 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Bethesda at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bethesda

Top eight tracts in Bethesda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.