Green Tree Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate

The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $3,501, 42% above the Bethesda average of $2,469. The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Running cool is economic stress, at 1.5/10. 30% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 4.5% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

2.8% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.4/10.

That places it #7 of 17 neighborhoods in Bethesda. At 12% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

The closest comparables inside the same city are South Bethesda and Kenwood. Against average income of $250,001, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 5.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.